Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.704425e-05 3.227134e-05 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069
2025-05-11 2.158085e-05 2.864613e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000072 0.000089
2025-05-18 1.688185e-05 2.474473e-05 0.000034 0.000047 0.000063 0.000081 0.000105
2025-05-25 1.246776e-05 2.026834e-05 0.000031 0.000045 0.000063 0.000085 0.000114
2025-06-01 9.566104e-06 1.719433e-05 0.000028 0.000043 0.000064 0.000090 0.000125
2025-06-08 7.651323e-06 1.513398e-05 0.000026 0.000043 0.000066 0.000096 0.000136
2025-06-15 6.137107e-06 1.337433e-05 0.000025 0.000042 0.000068 0.000101 0.000148
2025-06-22 4.777395e-06 1.157428e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000068 0.000105 0.000157
2025-06-29 3.564116e-06 9.742393e-06 0.000021 0.000039 0.000068 0.000107 0.000163
2025-07-06 2.547396e-06 8.004504e-06 0.000018 0.000037 0.000066 0.000107 0.000168
2025-07-13 1.933335e-06 6.925915e-06 0.000017 0.000036 0.000066 0.000110 0.000175
2025-07-20 1.538736e-06 6.230346e-06 0.000016 0.000036 0.000068 0.000115 0.000186
2025-07-27 1.164877e-06 5.530265e-06 0.000016 0.000036 0.000070 0.000122 0.000200
2025-08-03 1.001956e-06 5.364342e-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000076 0.000134 0.000222
2025-08-10 7.408671e-07 4.759376e-06 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000141 0.000238
2025-08-17 4.411464e-07 3.776776e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000142 0.000245
2025-08-24 2.684090e-07 3.107385e-06 0.000012 0.000035 0.000077 0.000145 0.000255
2025-08-31 1.711689e-07 2.673283e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000079 0.000151 0.000268
2025-09-07 1.033522e-07 2.288746e-06 0.000011 0.000034 0.000080 0.000156 0.000281
2025-09-14 5.230058e-08 1.874824e-06 0.000010 0.000033 0.000080 0.000160 0.000291
2025-09-21 1.960942e-08 1.451419e-06 0.000009 0.000031 0.000079 0.000160 0.000297
2025-09-28 4.377035e-09 1.064992e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000077 0.000160 0.000301
2025-10-05 7.559457e-10 8.457953e-07 0.000007 0.000029 0.000077 0.000163 0.000311